Week 8 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Bijan Robinson from EV Insight

Bijan RobinsonRushing Yards

Right now, Bijan Robinson’s rushing yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (+102/-134).

The public has bet the OVER up to 49.5 (+102) after it opened @ 37.5 (-112).

Pros

Our trusted projections expect the Atlanta Falcons as the most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 49.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The Falcons have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 62.0 plays per game.
Bijan Robinson has received 38.3% of his team’s rushing play calls this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile among running backs.
When talking about run support (and the effect it has on all run game metrics), the offensive line of the Falcons ranks as the 2nd-best in football last year.
Bijan Robinson has generated 50.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest marks in football when it comes to running backs (80th percentile).

Cons

The projections expect the Falcons to run the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.5 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
When it comes to the safeties’ role in stopping the run, Tennessee’s group of safeties has been great this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
59
Rushing Yards