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Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Kyle Pitts from EV Insight

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Kyle Pitts

Kyle PittsReceiving Yards

Player Props – Week 8

Titans vs. Falcons

Right now, Kyle Pitts’s receiving yards prop is set at 36.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

  • The Falcons have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 62.0 plays per game.
  • In this week’s game, Kyle Pitts is expected by the model to slot into the 87th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.5 targets.
  • With a remarkable 39.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (87th percentile) this year, Kyle Pitts rates among the best pass-game TEs in football.
  • Kyle Pitts’s 58.7% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects a substantial progression in his pass-catching ability over last season’s 49.3% rate.
  • This year, the poor Titans pass defense has given up a staggering 78.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 9th-worst rate in the NFL.
Cons

  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Falcons to pass on 50.7% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The projections expect the Falcons to run the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.5 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • Kyle Pitts has compiled quite a few less air yards this season (68.0 per game) than he did last season (77.0 per game).
  • With a RATE1-RATE2 point decrease in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive involvement) from last season to this one, Kyle Pitts has been used much less in his offense’s passing offense.
  • Kyle Pitts’s talent in generating extra yardage have declined this year, totaling a measly 2.68 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 6.61 figure last year.

Projection
THE BLITZ
39
Receiving Yards

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