Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Kyle Pitts from EV Insight

Kyle PittsReceiving Yards

Right now, Kyle Pitts’s receiving yards prop is set at 36.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

The Falcons have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 62.0 plays per game.
In this week’s game, Kyle Pitts is expected by the model to slot into the 87th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.5 targets.
With a remarkable 39.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (87th percentile) this year, Kyle Pitts rates among the best pass-game TEs in football.
Kyle Pitts’s 58.7% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects a substantial progression in his pass-catching ability over last season’s 49.3% rate.
This year, the poor Titans pass defense has given up a staggering 78.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 9th-worst rate in the NFL.

Cons

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Falcons to pass on 50.7% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
The projections expect the Falcons to run the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.5 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
Kyle Pitts has compiled quite a few less air yards this season (68.0 per game) than he did last season (77.0 per game).
With a RATE1-RATE2 point decrease in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive involvement) from last season to this one, Kyle Pitts has been used much less in his offense’s passing offense.
Kyle Pitts’s talent in generating extra yardage have declined this year, totaling a measly 2.68 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 6.61 figure last year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
39
Receiving Yards