Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Bijan RobinsonRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Titans vs. Falcons
Right now, Bijan Robinson’s rushing yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (+102/-134).
The public has bet the OVER up to 49.5 (+102) after it opened @ 37.5 (-112).
Pros
- Our trusted projections expect the Atlanta Falcons as the most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 49.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
- The Falcons have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 62.0 plays per game.
- Bijan Robinson has received 38.3% of his team’s rushing play calls this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile among running backs.
- When talking about run support (and the effect it has on all run game metrics), the offensive line of the Falcons ranks as the 2nd-best in football last year.
- Bijan Robinson has generated 50.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest marks in football when it comes to running backs (80th percentile).
Cons
- The projections expect the Falcons to run the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.5 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
- When it comes to the safeties’ role in stopping the run, Tennessee’s group of safeties has been great this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
59
Rushing Yards
59
Rushing Yards
