Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Terry McLaurin from EV Insight

Terry McLaurinReceiving Yards

Right now, Terry McLaurin’s receiving yards prop is set at 59.5 yards (+102/-132).

The public has bet the OVER up to 59.5 (+102) after it opened @ 56.5 (-114).

Pros

The Washington Commanders boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 13.1% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
A throwing game script is suggested by the Commanders being a -6.5-point underdog in this week’s game.
Our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders as the 2nd-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 66.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may decline.
The Eagles defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (39.1 per game) this year.

Cons

Terry McLaurin’s pass-game effectiveness has worsened this year, averaging just 8.77 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 9.90 mark last year.
Terry McLaurin’s talent in generating extra yardage have worsened this year, totaling just 3.65 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 5.84 figure last year.
The Eagles pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency versus wideouts this year, giving up 6.81 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
This year, the daunting Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing WRs: a puny 2.9 YAC.

Projection

THE BLITZ
67
Receiving Yards