Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Rashee RiceReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Broncos vs. Chiefs
Right now, Rashee Rice’s receiving yards prop is set at 41.5 yards (-135/-101).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 41.5 (-101) after it opened @ 44.5 (-117).
Pros
- The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 7th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 61.8% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
- Rashee Rice rates as one of the most sure-handed receivers in football, catching an exceptional 79.0% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers.
- Rashee Rice checks in as one of the most effective pass-catchers in the league, averaging an impressive 10.46 adjusted yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 86th percentile when it comes to WRs.
- With an excellent 7.50 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (96th percentile) this year, Rashee Rice has been among the leading wide receivers in the league in football in space.
- This year, the deficient Broncos pass defense has yielded a colossal 76.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 2nd-worst rate in the NFL.
Cons
- The Chiefs are a giant 7-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
- Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Chiefs are predicted by our trusted projection set to call only 62.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-lowest number on the slate this week.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense this year: 10th-fewest in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
44
Receiving Yards
44
Receiving Yards
