Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Rashee Rice from EV Insight

Rashee RiceReceiving Yards

Right now, Rashee Rice’s receiving yards prop is set at 41.5 yards (-135/-101).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 41.5 (-101) after it opened @ 44.5 (-117).

Pros

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 7th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 61.8% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Rashee Rice rates as one of the most sure-handed receivers in football, catching an exceptional 79.0% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers.
Rashee Rice checks in as one of the most effective pass-catchers in the league, averaging an impressive 10.46 adjusted yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 86th percentile when it comes to WRs.
With an excellent 7.50 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (96th percentile) this year, Rashee Rice has been among the leading wide receivers in the league in football in space.
This year, the deficient Broncos pass defense has yielded a colossal 76.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 2nd-worst rate in the NFL.

Cons

The Chiefs are a giant 7-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Chiefs are predicted by our trusted projection set to call only 62.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-lowest number on the slate this week.
Opposing QBs have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense this year: 10th-fewest in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
44
Receiving Yards