Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Ja'Marr Chase from EV Insight

Ja’Marr ChaseReceiving Yards

Right now, Ja’Marr Chase’s receiving yards prop is set at 85.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the OVER up to 85.5 (-115) after it opened @ 85.5 (-110).

Pros

The Bengals are a 5.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 68.1% of their opportunities: the greatest clip on the slate this week.
Opposing teams have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game vs. the 49ers defense this year: 2nd-most in football.
The leading projections forecast Ja’Marr Chase to notch 11.8 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile among wideouts.
With an outstanding 93.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (95th percentile) this year, Ja’Marr Chase ranks among the best wide receivers in the game in the league.

Cons

The leading projections forecast the Bengals to run the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.1 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
This year, the daunting 49ers defense has surrendered the 9th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing wide receivers: a meager 7.6 yards.
This year, the formidable San Francisco 49ers pass defense has allowed the 6th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing wide receivers: a mere 3.7 YAC.
As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, San Francisco’s collection of LBs has been phenomenal this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
94
Receiving Yards