First TD Bets — Wild Card Monday Slate
Alex Christenson
Javonte WilliamsRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Broncos vs. Chiefs
Right now, Javonte Williams’s rushing yards prop is set at 48.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 48.5 (-110) after it opened @ 46.5 (-110).
Pros
- In this game, Javonte Williams is anticipated by the model to land in the 79th percentile when it comes to RBs with 13.4 carries.
- Javonte Williams has been given 49.6% of his team’s rushing play calls this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile among RBs.
- The Chiefs defense owns the 10th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, surrendering 4.55 adjusted yards-per-carry.
- The Chiefs safeties project as the 28th-worst collection of safeties in football this year when it comes to run defense.
Cons
- An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Broncos being a huge -7-point underdog this week.
- Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Broncos are anticipated by the model to call just 62.5 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-lowest number among all teams this week.
- The fewest plays in football have been run by the Denver Broncos this year (just 51.1 per game on average).
Projection
THE BLITZ
56
Rushing Yards
56
Rushing Yards
