Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for George Kittle from EV Insight

George KittleReceiving Yards

Right now, George Kittle’s receiving yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 49.5 (-110) after it opened @ 44.5 (-114).

Pros

George Kittle has run a route on 86.6% of his offense’s dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile among TEs.
This week, George Kittle is projected by the projections to rank in the 90th percentile among tight ends with 5.7 targets.
When talking about air yards, George Kittle grades out in the towering 93rd percentile among TEs this year, averaging an impressive 43.0 per game.
With a fantastic 9.6 adjusted yards per target (96th percentile) this year, George Kittle rates as one of the best pass-catching TEs in the league.
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has yielded the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (79.4%) versus tight ends this year (79.4%).

Cons

A running game script is indicated by the 49ers being a 5.5-point favorite in this week’s game.
Our trusted projections expect the 49ers as the 6th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have only 120.9 total plays run: the fewest on the slate this week.
The 7th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the San Francisco 49ers this year (a lowly 53.9 per game on average).
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Cincinnati Bengals, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 33.5 per game) this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
46
Receiving Yards