Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
Drake LondonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Titans vs. Falcons
Right now, Drake London’s receiving yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (-143/+110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 49.5 (+110) after it opened @ 56.5 (-114).
Pros
- The Falcons have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 62.0 plays per game.
- Drake London ranks as one of the leading wide receivers in the league this year, averaging an outstanding 60.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 80th percentile.
- Drake London’s 2.66 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year illustrates a remarkable boost in his effectiveness in the open field over last year’s 0.0% rate.
- This year, the feeble Tennessee Titans defense has yielded a monstrous 175.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wideouts: the 8th-worst in football.
- The Titans pass defense has given up the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (75.4%) to wideouts this year (75.4%).
Cons
- Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Falcons to pass on 50.7% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
- The projections expect the Falcons to run the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.5 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
- Drake London has been a much smaller part of his team’s passing offense this year (23.2% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (29.1%).
- Drake London has accumulated quite a few less air yards this season (68.0 per game) than he did last season (75.0 per game).
Projection
THE BLITZ
54
Receiving Yards
54
Receiving Yards
