Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for David Njoku from EV Insight

David NjokuReceiving Yards

Right now, David Njoku’s receiving yards prop is set at 30.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 30.5 (-110) after it opened @ 34.5 (-110).

Pros

The Cleveland Browns will be forced to use backup quarterback PJ Walker in this week’s game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
This week’s line implies a throwing game script for the Browns, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
Our trusted projections expect the Browns to call the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.1 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The 3rd-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Browns this year (a whopping 65.7 per game on average).
The Seahawks defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (39.2 per game) this year.

Cons

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cleveland Browns to pass on 55.1% of their downs: the 9th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
David Njoku has posted quite a few less air yards this year (18.0 per game) than he did last year (45.0 per game).
With a RATE1-RATE2 point decrease in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive volume) from last year to this one, David Njoku has been used much less in his offense’s passing offense.
David Njoku’s 35.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season represents a noteworthy reduction in his receiving proficiency over last season’s 50.0 mark.
David Njoku’s 7.0 adjusted yards per target this year represents an impressive drop-off in his pass-catching skills over last year’s 8.9 mark.

Projection

THE BLITZ
37
Receiving Yards