Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Dallas Goedert from EV Insight

Dallas GoedertReceiving Yards

Right now, Dallas Goedert’s receiving yards prop is set at 39.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

Dallas Goedert has run a route on 87.8% of his team’s passing plays this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
Our trusted projections expect Dallas Goedert to accumulate 5.7 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile among tight ends.
Dallas Goedert has accrued a massive 32.0 air yards per game this year: 87th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
As it relates to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Philadelphia Eagles profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.
Dallas Goedert has been one of the top tight ends in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a fantastic 6.71 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 84th percentile.

Cons

A running game script is indicated by the Eagles being a 6.5-point favorite in this week’s game.
The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 7th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 53.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The model projects the Eagles offense to be the 10th-most sluggish paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 28.64 seconds per play.
Dallas Goedert has totaled many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (45.0) this season than he did last season (58.0).
This year, the tough Washington Commanders defense has surrendered a measly 37.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing tight ends: the 5th-best in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
46
Receiving Yards