Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Christian KirkReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Steelers vs. Jaguars
Right now, Christian Kirk’s receiving yards prop is set at 54.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 54.5 (-110) after it opened @ 53.5 (-110).
Pros
- Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.2% pass rate.
- The predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to run the 3rd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.8 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
- The leading projections forecast Christian Kirk to accrue 8.4 targets in this week’s game, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile among wideouts.
- With a terrific 66.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (85th percentile) this year, Christian Kirk ranks among the leading WRs in the league in football.
- This year, the porous Steelers defense has yielded a massive 187.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wide receivers: the 3rd-worst in football.
Cons
- This year, the imposing Pittsburgh Steelers defense has given up a paltry 60.7% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 7th-smallest rate in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
67
Receiving Yards
67
Receiving Yards
