Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Brandon Aiyuk from EV Insight

Brandon AiyukReceiving Yards

Right now, Brandon Aiyuk’s receiving yards prop is set at 67.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 67.5 (-110) after it opened @ 59.5 (-110).

Pros

The leading projections forecast Brandon Aiyuk to accrue 8.2 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 86th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
After accruing 69.0 air yards per game last season, Brandon Aiyuk has shown good development this season, now boasting 100.0 per game.
With a RATE1-RATE2 point uptick in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) from last season to this one, Brandon Aiyuk has been more heavily featured in his offense’s pass attack.
Brandon Aiyuk’s 85.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year represents a material progression in his pass-catching prowess over last year’s 63.0 mark.
Brandon Aiyuk’s 72.6% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a substantial gain in his receiving proficiency over last year’s 68.9% rate.

Cons

A running game script is indicated by the 49ers being a 5.5-point favorite in this week’s game.
Our trusted projections expect the 49ers as the 6th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have only 120.9 total plays run: the fewest on the slate this week.
The 7th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the San Francisco 49ers this year (a lowly 53.9 per game on average).
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Cincinnati Bengals, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 33.5 per game) this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
79
Receiving Yards