Week 8 Player Props: Passing Yards for Tyson Bagent from EV Insight

Tyson BagentPassing Yards

Right now, Tyson Bagent’s passing yards prop is set at 201.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 201.5 (-115) after it opened @ 202.5 (-115).

Pros

The Bears will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Tyson Bagent in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
This week’s spread implies an extreme throwing game script for the Bears, who are huge -8.5-point underdogs.
The Chargers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (39.8 per game) this year.
This year, the porous Los Angeles Chargers defense has been torched for a monstrous 328.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing quarterbacks: the most in the league.
This year, the feeble Los Angeles Chargers defense has been gouged for the most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing teams: a whopping 9.24 yards.

Cons

The model projects the Chicago Bears to be the 8th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The model projects the Bears offense to be the 5th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.21 seconds per snap.

Projection

THE BLITZ
223
Passing Yards