Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Sam HowellPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Commanders vs. Eagles
Right now, Sam Howell’s passing yards prop is set at 237.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 237.5 (-110) after it opened @ 239.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Washington Commanders boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 13.1% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
- A throwing game script is suggested by the Commanders being a -6.5-point underdog in this week’s game.
- Our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders as the 2nd-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 66.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The Eagles defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (39.1 per game) this year.
- Sam Howell comes in as one of the leading passers in the NFL this year, averaging an exceptional 254.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 78th percentile.
Cons
- The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has displayed good efficiency this year, giving up 6.89 adjusted yards-per-target: the 6th-fewest in the league.
- The Eagles defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.02 yards-after-the-catch this year: the fewest in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
243
Passing Yards
243
Passing Yards
