Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Russell WilsonPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Broncos vs. Chiefs
Right now, Russell Wilson’s passing yards prop is set at 207.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 207.5 (-110) after it opened @ 210.5 (-110).
Pros
- An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Broncos being a huge -7-point underdog this week.
- Russell Wilson’s passing accuracy has gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 59.3% to 65.8%.
Cons
- Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Broncos are anticipated by the model to call just 62.5 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-lowest number among all teams this week.
- The fewest plays in football have been run by the Denver Broncos this year (just 51.1 per game on average).
- This week, Russell Wilson is projected by the model to wind up with the 11th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 33.0.
- Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Kansas City Chiefs, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 32.9 per game) this year.
- This year, the imposing Kansas City Chiefs defense has surrendered a puny 66.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 6th-smallest rate in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
211
Passing Yards
211
Passing Yards
