Week 8 Player Props: Passing Yards for Russell Wilson from EV Insight

Russell WilsonPassing Yards

Right now, Russell Wilson’s passing yards prop is set at 207.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 207.5 (-110) after it opened @ 210.5 (-110).

Pros

An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Broncos being a huge -7-point underdog this week.
Russell Wilson’s passing accuracy has gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 59.3% to 65.8%.

Cons

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Broncos are anticipated by the model to call just 62.5 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The fewest plays in football have been run by the Denver Broncos this year (just 51.1 per game on average).
This week, Russell Wilson is projected by the model to wind up with the 11th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 33.0.
Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Kansas City Chiefs, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 32.9 per game) this year.
This year, the imposing Kansas City Chiefs defense has surrendered a puny 66.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 6th-smallest rate in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
211
Passing Yards