Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Jalen HurtsPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Commanders vs. Eagles
Right now, Jalen Hurts’s passing yards prop is set at 253.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 253.5 (-115) after it opened @ 255.5 (-118).
Pros
- As it relates to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Philadelphia Eagles profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.
- With an outstanding total of 249.0 adjusted passing yards per game (75th percentile), Jalen Hurts ranks as one of the leading quarterbacks in the league this year.
- This year, the deficient Washington Commanders defense has been torched for a monstrous 264.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing teams: the 5th-most in football.
- The Commanders pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency this year, surrendering 8.85 adjusted yards-per-target: the 3rd-most in the NFL.
- When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Washington’s group of LBs has been very bad this year, projecting as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.
Cons
- A running game script is indicated by the Eagles being a 6.5-point favorite in this week’s game.
- The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 7th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 53.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The model projects the Eagles offense to be the 10th-most sluggish paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 28.64 seconds per play.
- In this week’s contest, Jalen Hurts is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have the 8th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 32.3.
Projection
THE BLITZ
244
Passing Yards
244
Passing Yards
