Week 8 Player Props: Passing Yards for Bryce Young from EV Insight

Bryce YoungPassing Yards

Right now, Bryce Young’s passing yards prop is set at 223.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 223.5 (-110) after it opened @ 233.5 (-110).

Pros

The Carolina Panthers have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to lean 5.6% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
The Panthers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely creating a passing game script.
The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 132.3 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
The 4th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Carolina Panthers this year (a colossal 64.0 per game on average).
The Texans defense has been something of pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (38.5 per game) this year.

Cons

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Panthers to pass on 56.9% of their chances: the 11th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
When talking about protecting the passer (and the influence it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Panthers ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year.
With a subpar 62.5% Adjusted Completion% (25th percentile) this year, Bryce Young ranks as one of the least on-target passers in the NFL.
With a feeble 5.42 adjusted yards-per-target (3rd percentile) this year, Bryce Young ranks as one of the least effective QBs in the NFL.
As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Houston’s collection of CBs has been exceptional this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
223
Passing Yards