Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
D’Andre SwiftRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Eagles vs. Dolphins
Right now, D’Andre Swift’s rushing yards prop is set at 61.5 yards (-145/+106).
The public has bet the OVER up to 61.5 (-145) after it opened @ 60.5 (-117).
Pros
- This week’s spread implies a rushing game script for the Eagles, who are favored by 3 points.
- Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are predicted by the projections to call 66.9 total plays in this game: the 2nd-highest number among all teams this week.
- The most plays in the NFL have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a colossal 67.2 per game on average).
- Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being called for in this game) typically correlate with worse passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and higher ground volume.
- D’Andre Swift has run for significantly more adjusted yards per game (75.0) this year than he did last year (38.0).
Cons
- As it relates to the safeties’ role in run defense, Miami’s unit has been great this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
64
Rushing Yards
64
Rushing Yards
