Week 7 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Christian McCaffrey from EV Insight

Christian McCaffreyRushing Yards

Right now, Christian McCaffrey’s rushing yards prop is set at 55.5 yards (-115/-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Christian McCaffrey to accumulate 16.7 rush attempts in this game, on average, ranking in the 87th percentile among RBs.
Christian McCaffrey has been a more important option in his team’s running game this season (73.1% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (62.9%).
The Carolina Panthers offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in the league this year in run blocking.
Christian McCaffrey has averaged 62.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest marks in football among running backs (82nd percentile).

Cons

The Carolina Panthers will be rolling with backup QB PJ Walker this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Panthers are a big 11-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 7th-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 39.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have run the 3rd-least plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 52.3 plays per game.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense owns the 6th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, giving up just 4.23 yards-per-carry.

Projection

THE BLITZ
73
Rushing Yards