Week 7 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Amon-Ra St. Brown from EV Insight

Amon-Ra St. BrownReceiving Yards

Right now, Amon-Ra St. Brown’s receiving yards prop is set at 74.5 yards (-119/-115).

The public has bet the OVER up to 74.5 (-119) after it opened @ 70.5 (-119).

Pros

A passing game script is indicated by the Lions being a -3-point underdog in this game.
The projections expect Amon-Ra St. Brown to notch 10.3 targets in this week’s game, on average, placing him in the 97th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
With an extraordinary 29.4% Target% (94th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown ranks among the WRs with the highest volume in the league.
Amon-Ra St. Brown has put up far more air yards this season (72.0 per game) than he did last season (65.0 per game).
Amon-Ra St. Brown’s 96.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season represents a a meaningful progression in his pass-catching skills over last season’s 77.0 mark.

Cons

At the present time, the 4th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Detroit Lions.
The Ravens defense has allowed the 9th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 137.0) to wide receivers this year.
The Ravens pass defense has shown good efficiency vs. wide receivers this year, conceding 6.55 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-fewest in football.
As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Baltimore’s group of safeties has been fantastic this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
82
Receiving Yards