Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Adam TrautmanReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Broncos vs. Packers
Right now, Adam Trautman’s receiving yards prop is set at 14.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- Adam Trautman’s 72.8% Route% this year marks a a remarkable improvement in his passing attack utilization over last year’s 28.5% rate.
- After totaling 8.0 air yards per game last year, Adam Trautman has posted big gains this year, now sitting at 16.0 per game.
- This year, the weak Green Bay Packers defense has been torched for the 10th-most yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing tight ends: a monstrous 6.48 YAC.
- When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Green Bay’s collection of LBs has been very bad this year, ranking as the 6th-worst in the NFL.
Cons
- Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Broncos to pass on 54.8% of their plays: the 7th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
- The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 122.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Broncos this year (just 50.7 per game on average).
- Opposing teams have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 5th-most in the league.
- Adam Trautman’s ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 80.6% to 65.2%.
Projection
THE BLITZ
20
Receiving Yards
20
Receiving Yards
