Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Jacoby BrissettPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Ravens vs. Browns
Right now, Jacoby Brissett’s passing yards prop is set at 225.5 yards (-118/-114).
The public has bet the OVER up to 225.5 (-118) after it opened @ 214.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Browns are a 6.5-point underdog in this week’s game, likely leading to a passing game script.
- The Cleveland Browns have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 64.5 plays per game.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 5th-most in football.
- The Cleveland Browns O-line ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
- Jacoby Brissett has passed for substantially more yards per game (236.0) this year than he did last year (125.0).
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 57.1% pass rate.
- THE BLITZ projects the Browns to run the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Jacoby Brissett to attempt 32.6 passes in this contest, on average: the 6th-least of all quarterbacks.
- The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the 9th-best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
- The Baltimore Ravens pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-best in the league since the start of last season.
Projection
THE BLITZ
224
Passing Yards
224
Passing Yards
