Week 7 Player Props: Passing Yards for Brian Hoyer from EV Insight

Brian HoyerPassing Yards

Right now, Brian Hoyer’s passing yards prop is set at 223.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 223.5 (-110) after it opened @ 218.5 (-110).

Pros

The Raiders will be forced to use backup QB Brian Hoyer in this week’s contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: 9th-most in the league.
The Las Vegas O-line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing game stats across the board.
Opposing teams have passed for the 2nd-most adjusted yards in the NFL (288.0 per game) vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year.
The Bears pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency this year, conceding 8.64 adjusted yards-per-target: the 4th-most in the league.

Cons

The leading projections forecast the Raiders as the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 54.0% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are forecasted by the predictive model to call just 60.0 total plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
The 6th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Raiders this year (a lowly 54.2 per game on average).
The leading projections forecast Brian Hoyer to attempt 30.1 passes in this week’s game, on balance: the 5th-fewest among all quarterbacks.

Projection

THE BLITZ
206
Passing Yards