College Football Props of the Week: Week 4
Walter Waddell
Deshaun WatsonPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Colts vs. Browns
Right now, Deshaun Watson’s passing yards prop is set at 228.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 228.5 (-110) after it opened @ 229.5 (-110).
Pros
- Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are predicted by our trusted projection set to call 66.9 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-highest number among all teams this week.
- The 2nd-most plays in the league have been called by the Browns this year (a massive 66.0 per game on average).
- As it relates to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Browns grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year.
- Opposing QBs have passed for the 8th-most adjusted yards in the league (260.0 per game) versus the Colts defense this year.
- When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Indianapolis’s LB corps has been awful this year, profiling as the 5th-worst in the NFL.
Cons
- The Browns are a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s game, likely creating a running game script.
- The leading projections forecast the Cleveland Browns as the 4th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 52.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
- In this contest, Deshaun Watson is expected by the predictive model to total the 7th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 31.8.
- The Colts defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.92 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-fewest in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
225
Passing Yards
225
Passing Yards
