Week 6 Player Props: Rushing Yards for David Montgomery from EV Insight

David MontgomeryRushing Yards

Right now, David Montgomery’s rushing yards prop is set at 78.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

This game’s spread indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 3 points.
The leading projections forecast the Lions to be the 6th-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 45.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 64.4 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-most among all teams this week.
Our trusted projections expect David Montgomery to accrue 18.4 carries in this week’s game, on average, placing him in the 97th percentile among RBs.
David Montgomery’s 103.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year signifies a a remarkable growth in his rushing skills over last year’s 48.0 mark.

Cons

This year, the imposing Buccaneers run defense has allowed a mere 97.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 10th-fewest in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
85
Rushing Yards