Week 6 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Michael Pittman from EV Insight

Michael PittmanReceiving Yards

Right now, Michael Pittman’s receiving yards prop is set at 69.5 yards (+108/-148).

The public has bet the OVER up to 69.5 (+108) after it opened @ 66.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Colts to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 64.8 plays per game.
Michael Pittman has run a route on 96.9% of his offense’s passing plays this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among wideouts.
THE BLITZ projects Michael Pittman to accrue 8.8 targets in this week’s contest, on average, placing him in the 90th percentile among wide receivers.
Michael Pittman has posted many more receiving yards per game (75.0) this season than he did last season (63.0).

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 9th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 58.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.6 pass attempts per game against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 8th-least in the NFL.
Michael Pittman has posted significantly fewer air yards this year (64.0 per game) than he did last year (75.0 per game).
The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has given up the 9th-lowest Completion% in the league (63.5%) vs. WRs this year (63.5%).

Projection

THE BLITZ
75
Receiving Yards