Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Hunter HenryReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Browns vs. Patriots
Right now, Hunter Henry’s receiving yards prop is set at 22.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 22.5 (-110) after it opened @ 22.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Patriots are a 3-point underdog in this week’s contest, which points towards a passing game script.
- The New England Patriots offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
- The Cleveland Browns pass defense has not been good when opposing TEs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 5.65 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 7th-most in the league.
- The Cleveland Browns safeties profile as the 4th-worst safety corps in football this year in covering receivers.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the 3rd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 54.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the least total plays among all teams this week with 63.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The New England Patriots have run the 7th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 55.4 plays per game.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 4th-least in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
21
Receiving Yards
21
Receiving Yards
