Week 3 NFL Picks, Predictions & Best Bets | NFL Picks Against the Spread | NFL Props | Survivor
Chris Meaney
Chris GodwinReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Steelers vs. Buccaneers
Right now, Chris Godwin’s receiving yards prop is set at 60.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 4th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 63.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 135.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
- THE BLITZ projects Chris Godwin to earn 8.3 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile among wideouts.
- THE BLITZ projects Chris Godwin to be a more integral piece of his offense’s air attack this week (21.2% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (15.1% in games he has played).
Cons
- The Buccaneers are a giant 9.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line has allowed their QB just 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have utilized play action on a mere 17.2% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (least in the NFL), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.
Projection
THE BLITZ
74
Receiving Yards
74
Receiving Yards
