Week 6 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Cameron Brate from EV Insight

Cameron BrateReceiving Yards

Right now, Cameron Brate’s receiving yards prop is set at 21.5 yards (+114/-157).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 21.5 (-157) after it opened @ 23.5 (-114).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 4th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 63.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 135.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
Cameron Brate has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (64.7% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (41.6%).
THE BLITZ projects Cameron Brate to earn 3.9 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 79th percentile among TEs.

Cons

The Buccaneers are a giant 9.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
Cameron Brate’s possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 63.1% to 58.1%.
Cameron Brate has been among the least effective receivers in football among tight ends, averaging a measly 5.20 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 8th percentile.
Cameron Brate has been among the worst tight ends in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a mere 2.55 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 8th percentile.
The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties project as the 7th-best unit in the league this year with their pass rush.

Projection

THE BLITZ
24
Receiving Yards