Week 6 Player Props: Passing Yards for Trevor Lawrence from EV Insight

Trevor LawrencePassing Yards

Right now, Trevor Lawrence’s passing yards prop is set at 257.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 257.5 (-110) after it opened @ 251.5 (-110).

Pros

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to see 136.2 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 64.2 plays per game.
Trevor Lawrence has attempted 36.6 passes per game this year, checking in at the 79th percentile among QBs.
With an exceptional total of 251.0 adjusted passing yards per game (76th percentile), Trevor Lawrence places among the top quarterbacks in football this year.
Opposing offenses have passed for the 5th-most adjusted yards in football (275.0 per game) against the Colts defense this year.

Cons

A rushing game script is suggested by the Jaguars being a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s contest.
Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 56.3% of their plays: the 9th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
When talking about protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Jaguars profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
250
Passing Yards