Week 5 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Amari Cooper from EV Insight

Amari CooperReceiving Yards

Right now, Amari Cooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 50.5 yards (-105/-125).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 50.5 (-125) after it opened @ 50.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects Amari Cooper to accrue 7.7 targets in this week’s contest, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile among WRs.
Amari Cooper has notched significantly more air yards this season (88.0 per game) than he did last season (79.0 per game).
Amari Cooper’s 65.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 47.0.
The Cleveland Browns O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
Amari Cooper has been among the leading pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging a stellar 62.0 yards per game while ranking in the 81st percentile.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense as the 3rd-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 30.32 seconds per play.
The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
Amari Cooper’s receiving efficiency has worsened this year, totaling a measly 8.22 yards-per-target vs a 9.76 figure last year.
The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.07 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-least in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
54
Receiving Yards