Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Ezekiel ElliottRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 3
Giants vs. Cowboys
Right now, Ezekiel Elliott’s rushing yards prop is set at 62.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the OVER up to 62.5 (-115) after it opened @ 56.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Dallas Cowboys have called the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 66.4 plays per game.
- The Dallas Cowboys have played in the 2nd-most “low wind” (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to result in reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing offense effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this week’s contest.
- THE BLITZ projects Ezekiel Elliott to accumulate 15.9 rush attempts in this week’s game, on average, ranking in the 89th percentile among running backs.
- Ezekiel Elliott has been given 58.1% of his offense’s rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile among running backs.
Cons
- The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to start backup quarterback Cooper Rush this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
- THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 42.9% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Projection
THE BLITZ
67
Rushing Yards
67
Rushing Yards
