Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Russell GageReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 3
Buccaneers vs. Packers
Right now, Russell Gage’s receiving yards prop is set at 43.5 yards (-115/-120).
The public has bet up the OVER up to 43.5 (-115) after it opened @ 39.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 3rd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 63.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 65.6 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects Russell Gage to accumulate 6.9 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile among wide receivers.
- Russell Gage has been heavily involved in his team’s pass game, earning a Target Share of 21.2% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 83rd percentile among wideouts.
- Russell Gage has garnered a monstrous 24.2% of his offense’s air yards since the start of last season: 81st percentile among wide receivers.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Buccaneers to call the least total plays among all teams this week with 59.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Green Bay Packers defense has allowed the 9th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 138.0) to WRs since the start of last season.
- The Green Bay Packers pass defense has yielded the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the league (60.3%) to wide receivers since the start of last season (60.3%).
- The Green Bay Packers pass defense has displayed strong efficiency vs. WRs since the start of last season, allowing 7.71 yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-least in the league.
- The Green Bay Packers linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best group of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
56
Receiving Yards
56
Receiving Yards
