Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Rashod BatemanReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 3
Patriots vs. Ravens
Right now, Rashod Bateman’s receiving yards prop is set at 45.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet up the UNDER down to 45.5 (-115) after it opened @ 46.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Baltimore Ravens have run the most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 67.3 plays per game.
- The Baltimore Ravens O-line profiles as the 8th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
- Rashod Bateman has been among the leading pass-catching wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 46.0 yards per game while checking in at the 75th percentile.
- Rashod Bateman has been among the top WRs in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a terrific 4.98 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 76th percentile.
- The New England Patriots defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.52 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 8th-slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 53.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-least plays run among all games this week at 117.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 32.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in the NFL.
- Rashod Bateman’s possession skills have diminished this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 71.5% to 47.7%.
- Rashod Bateman’s pass-game efficiency has tailed off this season, totaling just 7.31 yards-per-target compared to a 8.56 mark last season.
Projection
THE BLITZ
44
Receiving Yards
44
Receiving Yards
