Week 3 Player Props: Passing Yards for Daniel Jones from EV Insight

Daniel JonesPassing Yards

Right now, Daniel Jones’s passing yards prop is set at 201.5 yards (+105/-140).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 201.5 (-140) after it opened @ 203.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 36.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league.
Daniel Jones’s throwing precision has improved this season, with his Completion% increasing from 64.5% to 70.6%.
The Dallas Cowboys defense has been vulnerable when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 6.31 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the most in the league.
The New York Giants have used play action on 28.4% of their passing plays since the start of last season (10th-most in the league), tricking the defense into thinking it’s a run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 56.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New York Giants have run the least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 61.7 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to attempt 32.9 passes in this contest, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.
The New York Giants O-line ranks as the worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the lowest clip in football versus the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season (64.2%).

Projection

THE BLITZ
215
Passing Yards