Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Mark AndrewsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 3
Patriots vs. Ravens
Right now, Mark Andrews’s receiving yards prop is set at 56.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet up the UNDER down to 56.5 (-110) after it opened @ 64.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Baltimore Ravens have run the most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 67.3 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects Mark Andrews to garner 7.4 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 98th percentile among TEs.
- Mark Andrews has been an integral part of his team’s passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 27.2% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 100th percentile among TEs.
- Mark Andrews has put up a colossal 98.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 100th percentile among TEs.
- The Baltimore Ravens O-line profiles as the 8th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 53.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-least plays run among all games this week at 117.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 32.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in the NFL.
- Mark Andrews’s receiving efficiency has diminished this season, compiling a measly 8.12 yards-per-target compared to a 9.34 rate last season.
- The New England Patriots defense has given up the least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 23.0) vs. TEs since the start of last season.
Projection
THE BLITZ
53
Receiving Yards
53
Receiving Yards
