NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Jalen HurtsPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 3
Commanders vs. Eagles
Right now, Jalen Hurts’s passing yards prop is set at 237.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet up the UNDER down to 237.5 (-110) after it opened @ 248.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to run the 4th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
- Jalen Hurts’s throwing precision has gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% jumping from 60.3% to 68.1%.
- Jalen Hurts has been among the most efficient quarterbacks in the NFL this year, averaging a terrific 8.15 yards-per-target while ranking in the 94th percentile.
- Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 3rd-most yards in football (262.0 per game) vs. the Washington Commanders defense since the start of last season.
Cons
- The Eagles are a 6-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 47.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
- THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to attempt 27.2 passes this week, on average: the least of all QBs.
- The Washington Commanders defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.68 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the least in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
203
Passing Yards
203
Passing Yards
