Week 3 Player Props: Passing Yards for Jalen Hurts from EV Insight

Jalen HurtsPassing Yards

Right now, Jalen Hurts’s passing yards prop is set at 237.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet up the UNDER down to 237.5 (-110) after it opened @ 248.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to run the 4th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Jalen Hurts’s throwing precision has gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% jumping from 60.3% to 68.1%.
Jalen Hurts has been among the most efficient quarterbacks in the NFL this year, averaging a terrific 8.15 yards-per-target while ranking in the 94th percentile.
Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 3rd-most yards in football (262.0 per game) vs. the Washington Commanders defense since the start of last season.

Cons

The Eagles are a 6-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 47.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to attempt 27.2 passes this week, on average: the least of all QBs.
The Washington Commanders defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.68 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the least in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
203
Passing Yards