Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Jakobi MeyersReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 3
Patriots vs. Ravens
Right now, Jakobi Meyers’s receiving yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet up the OVER up to 49.5 (-110) after it opened @ 48.5 (-115).
Pros
- Opposing QBs have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the league.
- Jakobi Meyers has run a route on 91.2% of his offense’s dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 90th percentile among WRs.
- THE BLITZ projects Jakobi Meyers to accumulate 7.5 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 90th percentile among wide receivers.
- Jakobi Meyers has totaled a monstrous 75.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 82nd percentile among wide receivers.
- Jakobi Meyers has been among the best wide receivers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 57.0 yards per game while grading out in the 84th percentile.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 2nd-least total plays on the slate this week with 57.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The New England Patriots have run the 5th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 60.6 plays per game.
- Jakobi Meyers has been among the weakest wideouts in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a measly 3.15 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 20th percentile.
- The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has allowed the 8th-lowest Completion% in football (64.1%) versus WRs since the start of last season (64.1%).
- The New England Patriots O-line has allowed their QB a mere 2.53 seconds before the pass (8th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
61
Receiving Yards
61
Receiving Yards
