Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Hunter HenryReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 3
Patriots vs. Ravens
Right now, Hunter Henry’s receiving yards prop is set at 29.5 yards (-127/-108).
The public has bet up the UNDER down to 29.5 (-108) after it opened @ 30.5 (-114).
Pros
- Opposing QBs have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the league.
- THE BLITZ projects Hunter Henry to accrue 4.5 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 86th percentile among TEs.
- Hunter Henry has accrued a colossal 43.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 91st percentile among TEs.
- Hunter Henry’s 32.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the league leaders: 87th percentile for tight ends.
- Hunter Henry has been among the best pass-game TEs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 34.0 yards per game while checking in at the 81st percentile.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 2nd-least total plays among all teams this week with 57.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The New England Patriots have run the 5th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 60.6 plays per game.
- Hunter Henry has been among the weakest TEs in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a lowly 2.87 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 4th percentile.
- The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has conceded the 9th-lowest Completion% in football (69.1%) to TEs since the start of last season (69.1%).
- The New England Patriots O-line has allowed their QB a mere 2.53 seconds before the pass (8th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
32
Receiving Yards
32
Receiving Yards
