Week 3 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Gerald Everett from EV Insight

Gerald EverettReceiving Yards

Right now, Gerald Everett’s receiving yards prop is set at 29.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 65.5% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects Gerald Everett to accrue 5.9 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 91st percentile among TEs.
Gerald Everett has been a big part of his team’s passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 14.9% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 85th percentile among tight ends.
Gerald Everett has put up a whopping 23.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 77th percentile among tight ends.
Gerald Everett has been among the top pass-catching TEs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 35.0 yards per game while checking in at the 82nd percentile.

Cons

The Chargers are a 6.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
Opposing offenses have played at the 9th-worst pace in football (adjusted for context) against the Los Angeles Chargers defense since the start of last season, averaging 28.59 seconds per snap.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in the NFL.
Gerald Everett’s sure-handedness have declined this season, with his Completion% falling off from 82.2% to 69.0%.
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has been quite strong when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.71 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 10th-least in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
44
Receiving Yards