Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
DK MetcalfReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 3
Seahawks vs. Falcons
Right now, DK Metcalf’s receiving yards prop is set at 54.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet up the UNDER down to 54.5 (-115) after it opened @ 56.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects DK Metcalf to garner 7.3 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile among WRs.
- DK Metcalf has been heavily involved in his team’s passing attack, earning a Target Share of 26.8% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 94th percentile among wide receivers.
- DK Metcalf has accrued a colossal 90.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 91st percentile among wide receivers.
- DK Metcalf has been among the best wide receivers in the league since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 56.0 yards per game while grading out in the 82nd percentile.
- DK Metcalf’s sure-handedness have been refined this year, with his Completion% rising from 60.1% to 84.8%.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 10th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 57.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to call the 6th-least total plays among all teams this week with 57.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Seattle Seahawks have called the least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a mere 51.4 plays per game.
- The Seattle Seahawks offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
- DK Metcalf’s receiving effectiveness has diminished this season, totaling just 5.65 yards-per-target vs a 7.97 rate last season.
Projection
THE BLITZ
62
Receiving Yards
62
Receiving Yards
