Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Cameron BrateReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 3
Buccaneers vs. Packers
Right now, Cameron Brate’s receiving yards prop is set at 19.5 yards (-113/-121).
The public has bet up the UNDER down to 19.5 (-121) after it opened @ 21.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 3rd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 63.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 65.6 plays per game.
- Cameron Brate has notched a colossal 24.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 79th percentile among tight ends.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
- The Green Bay Packers pass defense has yielded the 7th-highest Completion% in the NFL (74.7%) vs. tight ends since the start of last season (74.7%).
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Buccaneers to call the least total plays among all teams this week with 59.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Cameron Brate’s receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 63.1% to 40.5%.
- Cameron Brate’s pass-catching efficiency has diminished this year, notching a mere 3.01 yards-per-target compared to a 5.95 mark last year.
- Cameron Brate has been among the bottom tight ends in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a lowly 2.69 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 2nd percentile.
- The Green Bay Packers linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best group of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
24
Receiving Yards
24
Receiving Yards
