College Football Props of the Week: Week 4
Walter Waddell
Marcus MariotaPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 3
Seahawks vs. Falcons
Right now, Marcus Mariota’s passing yards prop is set at 210.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet up the OVER up to 210.5 (-110) after it opened @ 207.5 (-115).
Pros
- The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- Opposing teams have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the league.
- Opposing teams have thrown for the 2nd-most yards in the NFL (266.0 per game) vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season.
- Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 2nd-highest rate in the league vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season (74.3%).
- The Seattle Seahawks defense has struggled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 6.37 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the most in the league.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 4th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 118.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a measly 59.0 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects Marcus Mariota to attempt 28.4 passes this week, on average: the least of all QBs.
- The Atlanta Falcons offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
204
Passing Yards
204
Passing Yards
