Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Mac JonesPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 3
Patriots vs. Ravens
Right now, Mac Jones’s passing yards prop is set at 232.5 yards (-103/-133).
The public has bet up the UNDER down to 232.5 (-133) after it opened @ 244.5 (-115).
Pros
- Opposing QBs have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the league.
- Opposing QBs have thrown for the most yards in football (291.0 per game) against the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season.
- The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has displayed bad efficiency since the start of last season, giving up 8.70 yards-per-target: the 2nd-most in football.
- The Baltimore Ravens defense has struggled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 6.21 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 3rd-most in the NFL.
- The Baltimore Ravens cornerbacks project as the 4th-worst CB corps in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 2nd-least total plays among all teams this week with 57.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The New England Patriots have run the 5th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 60.6 plays per game.
- The New England Patriots O-line has allowed their QB a mere 2.53 seconds before the pass (8th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
- The Baltimore Ravens pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-fastest in football since the start of last season.
- The New England Patriots have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.6% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-least in football). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.
Projection
THE BLITZ
242
Passing Yards
242
Passing Yards
