Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Gus EdwardsRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 21
Ravens vs. Chiefs
Right now, Gus Edwards’s rushing yards prop is set at 45.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 45.5 (-110) after it opened @ 41.5 (-114).
Pros
- With a 4.5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored this week, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their standard game plan.
- Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to run on 49.9% of their opportunities: the highest frequency among all teams this week.
- The projections expect this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- In this game, Gus Edwards is projected by our trusted projection set to slot into the 85th percentile among running backs with 11.7 rush attempts.
- Gus Edwards has grinded out 51.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the highest figures in football when it comes to running backs (79th percentile).
Cons
- Gus Edwards has been a much bigger part of his team’s offense this year, playing on 41.3% of snaps compared to just 26.4% last year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
50
Rushing Yards
50
Rushing Yards
