Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Rashee RiceReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 21
Ravens vs. Chiefs
Right now, Rashee Rice’s receiving yards prop is set at 58.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- At a -4.5-point disadvantage, the Chiefs are underdogs in this game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their usual game plan.
- Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chiefs to pass on 65.0% of their plays: the highest rate on the slate this week.
- The predictive model expects this game to see the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, enticing opposing teams to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (36.2 per game) this year.
- Rashee Rice ranks as one of the leading wide receivers in the game this year, averaging an impressive 68.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 88th percentile.
Cons
- This year, the imposing Ravens defense has conceded a feeble 59.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 5th-lowest rate in the NFL.
- The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has shown good efficiency versus wideouts this year, yielding 6.49 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the fewest in the league.
- As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Baltimore’s collection of safeties has been tremendous this year, projecting as the best in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
80
Receiving Yards
80
Receiving Yards
