Week 21 Player Props: Passing Yards for Lamar Jackson

Lamar JacksonPassing Yards

Right now, Lamar Jackson’s passing yards prop is set at 213.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 213.5 (-110) after it opened @ 210.5 (-110).

Pros

The projections expect this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
In regards to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Ravens ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year.
Lamar Jackson’s 222.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year signifies a substantial gain in his throwing prowess over last year’s 191.0 rate.
Lamar Jackson’s 68.3% Adjusted Completion% this season illustrates a meaningful improvement in his passing accuracy over last season’s 62.9% mark.
Lamar Jackson ranks as one of the most effective quarterbacks in the NFL this year, averaging an outstanding 7.85 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the 94th percentile.

Cons

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored this week, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their standard game plan.
The predictive model expects the Ravens to be the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 50.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast Lamar Jackson to attempt 31.2 passes in this week’s game, on average: the fewest among all quarterbacks.
Opposing teams have averaged 27.2 pass attempts per game against the Chiefs defense this year: fewest in football.
This year, the formidable Chiefs defense has given up a puny 168.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing teams: the 2nd-best in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
213
Passing Yards