NBA Prop of the Day
Jake Silverman
Lamar JacksonPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 21
Ravens vs. Chiefs
Right now, Lamar Jackson’s passing yards prop is set at 213.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 213.5 (-110) after it opened @ 210.5 (-110).
Pros
- The projections expect this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- In regards to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Ravens ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year.
- Lamar Jackson’s 222.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year signifies a substantial gain in his throwing prowess over last year’s 191.0 rate.
- Lamar Jackson’s 68.3% Adjusted Completion% this season illustrates a meaningful improvement in his passing accuracy over last season’s 62.9% mark.
- Lamar Jackson ranks as one of the most effective quarterbacks in the NFL this year, averaging an outstanding 7.85 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the 94th percentile.
Cons
- With a 4.5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored this week, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their standard game plan.
- The predictive model expects the Ravens to be the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 50.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
- The leading projections forecast Lamar Jackson to attempt 31.2 passes in this week’s game, on average: the fewest among all quarterbacks.
- Opposing teams have averaged 27.2 pass attempts per game against the Chiefs defense this year: fewest in football.
- This year, the formidable Chiefs defense has given up a puny 168.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing teams: the 2nd-best in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
213
Passing Yards
213
Passing Yards
