NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Mo Alie-CoxReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Jaguars vs. Colts
Right now, Mo Alie-Cox’s receiving yards prop is set at 17.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet up the OVER up to 17.5 (-115) after it opened @ 16.5 (-120).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Colts to run the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Mo Alie-Cox has totaled a monstrous 26.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 79th percentile among TEs.
- Mo Alie-Cox has been among the most efficient pass-catchers in the NFL among TEs, averaging a terrific 8.40 yards-per-target since the start of last season while ranking in the 76th percentile.
- Mo Alie-Cox has been among the top tight ends in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a terrific 5.77 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 78th percentile.
- The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has displayed poor efficiency against tight ends since the start of last season, conceding 8.04 yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-most in the league.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 8th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 55.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The Indianapolis Colts have played in the 9th-most “low wind” (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to lead to reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this week’s game.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in the NFL.
- Mo Alie-Cox has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL among TEs, hauling in just 59.5% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 5th percentile.
Projection
THE BLITZ
29
Receiving Yards
29
Receiving Yards
