Week 2 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Tyler Kroft from EV Insight

Tyler KroftReceiving Yards

Right now, Tyler Kroft’s receiving yards prop is set at 14.5 yards (-105/-125).

The public has bet up the UNDER down to 14.5 (-125) after it opened @ 14.5 (-115).

Pros

Opposing QBs have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in the league.
Tyler Kroft has run a route on 51.3% of his team’s dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 80th percentile among tight ends.
Tyler Kroft has accounted for a colossal 7.6% of his team’s air yards since the start of last season: 80th percentile among TEs.
The San Francisco 49ers O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
The Seattle Seahawks defense has given up the 5th-most receiving yards per game in football (59.0) vs. TEs since the start of last season.

Cons

The 49ers are a big 8.5-point favorite in this week’s game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 44.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have called the 8th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 60.8 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Projection

THE BLITZ
12
Receiving Yards